Increased gross production tax reflects slumping oil prices

State Treasurer Randy McDaniel reports Oklahoma’s monthly Gross Receipts to the treasury are continuing to grow but also show the signs of an impact from lower energy prices.

Gross production taxes on crude oil and natural gas were remitted last month but are from the November 2018 oil field production. He said they came at a time when crude oil prices started falling. As a result, the receipts were slightly more than $100 million and are the lowest monthly total since the 2018 legislature adopted a bill to increase the production incentive tax rate from 2 to 5 percent.

“Even so, all major revenue streams show increases in gross receipts. January collections are up by almost 9 percent over last year and combined receipts for the past 12 months are up by almost 13 percent,” said McDaniel.

“The sustained expansion of the state’s economy is noteworthy, but the recent volatility of energy prices illuminates the importance of proceeding with caution,” he added. “We have started to see the impact of lower prices on oil and gas tax collections. However, at least at this point, any substantial spillover effect on other major revenue sources has not materialized.”

Gross production taxes on oil and natural gas generated $100.1 million in January, an increase of $39.3 million, or 64.7 percent, from last January. Compared to December reports, gross production collections are down by $18.3 million, or 15.4 percent.

Motor vehicle taxes produced $68.1 million, up by $1.4 million, or 2.1 percent, from the same month of 2018.

Monthly income, sales, and motor vehicle tax collections all show growth in January of between 2.1 percent and 3.2 percent compared to January 2018. In comparison, combined receipts over the past 12 months show a higher growth rate in those revenue sources ranging from 3.4 percent to 8.4 percent.

New Tax Revenue

Revenue generated by increased tax rates approved in House Bill 1010 during special session last year added $50.3 million to monthly collections, 4 percent of January gross receipts.

The largest share, $32 million, came from the increase in the incentive tax rate on oil and natural gas gross production. Higher tax rates on gasoline and diesel fuel generated $9.9 million, and the $1 per pack hike in cigarette taxes added $8.4 million to January’s total.

Other indicators

The Oklahoma Business Conditions Index has topped growth neutral for 18 consecutive months. The January index was set at 57.1, up from 56.4 in November. Numbers above 50 indicate anticipated economic growth during the next three to six months.

Oklahoma’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate of 3.2 percent in December is down by one-tenth of a percentage point from November. The U.S. jobless rate of 3.9 percent is unchanged from the prior month, according to figures released by the Oklahoma Employment Security Commission.

January collections

January gross collections total $1.2 billion, up $101.1 million, or 8.9 percent, from January 2018.

Gross income tax collections, a combination of individual and corporate income taxes, generated $459.4 million, an increase of $9.4 million, or 2.1 percent, from the previous January.

Individual income tax collections for the month are $412.9 million, up by $4.6 million, or 1.1 percent, from the prior year. Corporate collections are $46.5 million, an increase of $4.8 million, or 11.5 percent.

Sales tax collections, including remittances on behalf of cities and counties, total $419.9 million in January. That is $13 million, or 3.2 percent, more than January 2018.

Gross production taxes on oil and natural gas generated $100.1 million in January, an increase of $39.3 million, or 64.7 percent, from last January. Compared to December reports, gross production collections are down by $18.3 million, or 15.4 percent.

Motor vehicle taxes produced $68.1 million, up by $1.4 million, or 2.1 percent, from the same month of 2018.

Other collections, consisting of about 60 different sources including use taxes, along with taxes on fuel, tobacco, and alcoholic beverages, produced $194.1 million during the month. That is $38.1 million, or 24.4 percent, more than last January.

Twelve-month collections

Gross revenue totals $13.1 billion from the past 12 months. That is $1.5 billion, or 12.7 percent, more than collections from the previous 12 months.

Gross income taxes generated $4.4 billion for the period, reflecting an increase of $311.7 million, or 7.6 percent, from the prior 12 months.

Individual income tax collections total $3.9 billion, up by $227.5 million, or 6.2 percent, from the prior 12 months. Corporate collections are $504.5 million for the period, an increase of $84.3 million, or 20 percent, over the previous period.

Sales taxes for the 12 months generated $4.9 billion, an increase of $375.9 million, or 8.4 percent, from the prior period.

Oil and gas gross production tax collections brought in $1 billion during the 12 months, up by $462.8 million, or 81.9 percent, from the previous period.

Motor vehicle collections total $785.7 million for the period. This is an increase of $26 million, or 3.4 percent, from the trailing period.

Other sources generated $2 billion, up by $291.2 million, or 17.1 percent, from the previous year.

About Gross Receipts to the Treasury

The Office of the State Treasurer developed the monthly Gross Receipts to the Treasury report in order to provide a timely and broad view of the state’s macro economy.

It is released in conjunction with the General Revenue Fund allocation report from the Office of Management and Enterprise Services, which provides important information to state agencies for budgetary planning purposes.

The General Revenue Fund receives less than half of the state’s gross receipts with the remainder paid in rebates and refunds, remitted to cities and counties, and apportioned to other state funds.

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