WTI and Brent Tumble on Tuesday as IEA Report Forecasts Supply Will Outpace Demand Into 2017


Oil futures finished at their lowest level in a week, after the International Energy Agency warned that supply will continue to outpace demand during 2017, according to Bloomberg MarketWatch.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, October West Texas Intermediate crude fell $1.39, or 3%, to settle at $44.90 a barrel, marking its lowest settlement since September 6.

On London’s ICE Futures Exchange, November Brent crude, the global benchmark, dropped $1.22, or 2.5%, to end trading at $47.10 a barrel, marking its lowest finish since September 2.

Futures were trading low but plummeted upon the release of the monthly International Energy Agency report which downgraded its global oil demand predictions by nearly 100,000 barrels a day for this year to growth of 1.3 million barrels a day, and cut its forecast for 2017 by 200,000 barrels to growth of 1.2 million barrels a day.

“This supply-demand dynamic may not change significantly in the coming months. As a result, supply will continue to outpace demand at least through the first half of next year,” it said in its report.

Futures rose during New York trading on Monday, getting a lift from a report from data provider Genscape Inc. that showed storage at the Cushing, Oklahoma storage hub fell by more than 1.2 million barrels last week. That follows a government report in the previous week that showed a 14.5 million-barrel drop—one of the biggest one-week declines in U.S. oil inventories on record.

Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration due out Wednesday could show a rebound in stockpiles. S&P Global Platts said it expects crude inventories to rise 3.3 million barrels, noting that the prior week’s decline was likely weather related.

Meanwhile, October natural gas fell about half a cent, or 0.2%, to settle at $2.909 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange.